But then things took a turn. First it lost the Golden Globe to Bohemian Rhapsody -- less a movie and more like if a Greatest Hits CD somehow gained sentience and wrote a screenplay. Now Gold Derby has A Star Is Born's Best Picture odds at 8/1, behind Green Book and Roma and tied with Black Panther. So what happened? Well, we have a theory about that ...
Remember, A Star Is Born is a remake -- and not just of one movie. There are three previous versions of this story. And the median age of the Academy voters is 62. Of the 6,000 members, only 14 percent are under 50. So a lot of these codgers were around for the 1976 version, starring Barbra Streisand and Kris Kristofferson, and probably the Judy Garland classic from 1954 as well. And they may have even caught the 1937 original. Which means SPOILERS SPOILERS SPOILERS they've seen the lead male character kill himself a bunch of times.
To put it in terms modern audiences can understand, remember how when Spider-Man was rebooted, we all expressed our displeasure at having to watch poor Uncle Ben's murder yet again? Yeah, that only happened twice (well, technically three times, since there was a flashback in Spider-Man 3).