Although Bush was no longer president, he happened to be in Kuwait that April to commemorate the victory over Iraq in the Gulf War. Also present were his former secretary of State, chief of staff, Treasury secretary, his wife, his daughter-in-law Laura Bush, and two of his dopey sons (George W. stayed in Texas, presumably unwilling to miss a single episode of Melrose Place). The plan was to blow up Bush's car in the parking lot of Kuwait University, using a Toyota Land Cruiser loaded with 180 pounds of explosives. Although the Iraqis fumbled Bush's itinerary, and were discovered by Kuwaiti authorities, if they'd managed to park the Land Cruiser "very close" to Bush's armored car, half the Bush family and White House staff would have become a fine mist.
If that had happened, we're guessing the American response would have still a bit harsher than the 23 cruise missiles Bill Clinton launched two months later. Like, a few thousand missiles and bombs harsher.
We're talking a full-blown Iraq War during the 16-bit era, albeit under Clinton's leadership instead of Halliburton's. Would it have stabilized the region, or would it have been a bigger military disaster than Vietnam? Your guess is as good as ours. All we know is that the press would've been too distracted with Clinton avenging the Bush family to care how he rolled his cigars.