Polymarket Is Taking Bets on ‘South Park’s Polymarket Episode
While we don’t know exactly what’s going to happen on tonight’s brand new episode of South Park, we do know that it will involve a Kyle/Cartman feud, a check-in with Donald Trump’s domestic life and “prediction market apps.”
Clearly the episode is going to tackle Polymarket, which may sound like a grocery store for open-minded couples, but is really the “world’s largest prediction market.” Users can bet on everything from sporting events, to election results, to the return of Jesus Christ.
Imagine the embarrassment of having to admit to your family that you lost your life savings betting crypto on Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau’s relationship status.
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Oddly enough, once word hit that South Park would be covering the Polymarket trend this week, the show quickly became the subject of multiple Polymarket bets. Users can currently bet on which words will be said during the episode, titled “Conflict of Interest.”
“Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market,” the page’s rules read. The safest option is that “Predict” will be said more than 10 times. “Poly” has a 47 percent chance of being uttered more than five times. And “Dildo,” appropriately, has a 69 percent rating. Less probable is the phrase “Killed Kenny” since the show has stopped subjecting Kenny to a never ending gauntlet of painful deaths.
Another market asks ”Who will trade on a prediction market in South Park?” with Cartman and Kyle unsurprisingly topping the list. Randy Marsh is also in there at 58 percent and Butters apparently has a 73 percent chance of getting in on the action. The options also include Trump, Satan, PC Principal, Kenny and even Towelie. Bebe is ranked the lowest, with just 13 percent.
It remains to be seen whether or not the political storyline will overlap with the South Park Elementary-based betting app storyline, but Polymarket did play a significant role in the 2024 election. The app was treated as if it were a legit political poll, even though excessive bets could obviously shift the odds. And, perhaps not coincidentally, FiveThirtyEight pollster Nate Silver was accused of having a “conflict of interest” when he became a Polymarket advisor in July 2024.
Of course, it could be argued that betting on cartoon characters and prospective Civil Wars is yet another sign that we’re all living in a dystopian hellscape.