"Oh, invadin' Crimea and stuff."
Still, it seems that Dugin's book is either an influence on, or at least parallels, the Kremlin's strategies. It's been used as a textbook by Russian military strategists, and some of the similarities between what's laid out in the book and current Russian policy is a little spooky.
The overarching theme of Geopolitics is that the goal of Russia should be the "Finlandization" of Europe. This means giving a large, powerful country -- say, one whose name rhymes with "Shmussia" -- policy control over smaller neighboring countries. Those countries remain "independent," in the same way a ten-year-old declares his independence by wearing their hat backwards. The name is a reference to Russia's control over Finland during the Cold War -- the good old days when the twinkle of nuclear annihilation was in policymakers' eyes.
Ol' Gipper and his jellybeans and nuclear holocaust. D'aww!
The book calls for the annexation of Ukraine, which seems a likely goal after the annexation of Crimea and aggressive policy toward the rest of Ukraine. This by itself is not an impressive prediction; Ukraine shares a large border with Russia and is home to a number of Russian separatists. It's an obvious strategic move to try to regain some of that territory, especially after Ukraine has tried to join the EU, a clear threat to Russia's power in the region. But that's not where the parallels end between the 20-year-old book and current events.
Dugin writes that the UK should be separated from the rest of Europe, like some sort of British exit, or "Exbrit," as I like to call it. As it turns out, Kremlin-controlled media pushed for the Brexit. Members of UK's parliament suspect Russian meddling in the Brexit referendum, although no evidence or investigation has yet come about.
While the UK should be shunned, Dugin proposes that Germany and France form a "Franco-German bloc," where "anti-Atlanticist traditions" (that is, against cooperation between Europe, the U.S., and Canada) should be encouraged. Lately, Russia has been trying to inflame far-right, pro-Russia sentiments in Germany and in France. This includes xenophobic fake news stories, meetings with the German far-right, gaining support from presidential hopefuls, and funding right-wing nationalist groups in France and Germany. The far right in Germany and France have, coincidentally, cheered on Brexit and are angling for their own exit votes, Gerexit and Frexit, which unsurprisingly sound like a list of preservatives in Frosted Flakes.
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